“The SPD appears trapped. Decades of attrition have left it with a precarious infrastructure staffed largely by careerists and a handful of true believers. Its traditional base has decamped to protest parties on the Right and Left, while its leadership lacks charisma, political vision, and the kind of popular support necessary to carry out such a vision. Should the grand coalition last a full term, the party can be thankful if its election results remain in the double digits.”

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